Busch takes inaugural truck race at Chicagoland

Autoracing Betting Lines

08/29/2009 - Joliet, IL (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Kyle Busch made a late-race pass on Todd Bodine for the lead and then held off Bodine on a restart with seven laps to go to win Friday's inaugural EnjoyIllinois.com 225 Camping World Truck Series race at Chicagoland Speedway.

Busch recorded his fourth victory of the season and the 13th of his Truck Series career. He won last week's race at Bristol, snapping Ron Hornaday Jr.'s five-race winning streak.

"[Crew chief] Richie [Wauters] made a good pit call there in the beginning of the race to take tires when we did," said Busch, who led a race-high 79 laps. "Luckily, we had that long green-flag run, and we cased it. We made it look like we knew what we were doing, and that long run, it just hurt everybody else."

Busch and Wauters are now two-for-two in wins since the duo were reunited at the No.51 Billy Ballew Motorsports Toyota team prior to Bristol. Wauters guided Busch to three victories in the series in 2008. Doug George had served as his crew chief before moving over to Ballew's No.15 team.

"Kyle is a heck of a race car driver, and when he gets to the front, I don't think anyone is going to get around him unless he's a little bit worse," Wauters said.

Busch has now won three of the last four races in which he's competed, as he captured the victory in both the Truck and Sprint Cup events at Bristol. He will try to improve on that record Sunday when he runs in the Nationwide Series race at Montreal.

The 24-year-old driver has now recorded victories in all three of NASCAR's national touring series at five different tracks. Busch won the Nationwide and Sprint Cup races at Chicagoland last year.

Bodine settled for a second-place finish.

"On the second-to-last restart, I just got too good of a restart, and this place is so much like Daytona and Talladega where drafting is so important," said Bodine, who relinquished the lead to Busch with 19 laps remaining. "He got a good draft and passed me. I guess it's my fault."

Colin Braun finished third, followed by Rick Crawford and Johnny Sauter.

Dennis Setzer, Chad McCumbee, Aric Almirola, Timothy Peters and Terry Cook completed the top-10.

Hornaday had a disappointing night with an 11th-place finish, his worst result since the first weekend in June at Texas, where he placed 19th. Hornaday fell one lap behind but managed to get back on the lead lap during the seventh and final caution.

Matt Crafton, the pole sitter, finished a lap down in 14th.

Hornaday slightly increased his lead over Crafton to 220 points with nine races remaining in the season.

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Sportsbooks to bet on football

Recently I had an email debate with an angry reader who said I did not understand "the science of oddsmaking", as he called it.

He said I was wrong for suggesting oddsmakers care about who wins or loses games.

"Oddsmakers only care about splitting the betting public 50/50 on both sides of the line and keeping the commission (a.k.a. juice)," he wrote.

He might have been right about not understanding "the science of oddsmaking". After all, I'm not an oddsmaker. That said, I stick to my assertion that oddsmakers (a.k.a. sportbooks) often do care about who wins games.

Granted, as a general rule, sportsbooks try to balance their action so that they're not exposed to big losses. However, there are times when this is difficult to pull off, regardless of how much a line has moved. There are also times when that general rule is ignored and a book pursues risk.

Generally speaking, it's safe to say the books in Vegas are risk-adverse. Unlike in the past when the wise guys ruled the town, Vegas is now corporate and the goal of most casinos is to make as much money as possible with as little risk as possible.

Thus, Vegas sportsbooks try everything in their power to balance the action. They're satisfied simply collecting the juice. But these profits are small, especially compared to the take from other casino games, namely slot machines.

Because the profits at Vegas sportsbooks are so small, you could argue that many casinos operate sportsbooks simply as a novelty to keep the tourists happy.

With a growing aversion to risk, it should come as no surprise that Vegas bookmakers have been panicking this NFL season.

Despite huge pointspreads, a disproportionate percentage of bettors are still laying their money on favorites like the Eagles, Colts, Pats and Vikings rather than the dogs (a common trend for the largely recreational bettors that visit Vegas).

And much to the dismay of the books, those favorites are finding ways to cover the thick chalk. In fact, prior to Week 7, the four teams listed above are a combined 16-2-2 (88 percent) against the spread. (The tables turned dramatically in Week 7, but more on that later.)

The result has been an early-season beating for the books, and a bonanza for bettors.

While Vegas increasingly hates risk, it's no longer a major player in the sports betting world. Most of the betting action now takes place offshore where sportsbooks are not as obsessed about balance. In fact, some books encourage exposure to risk because the rewards can be so much bigger.

Consider MySportsbook.com. On its website, the book has odds pages which actually display the amount of action it's getting on games. In other words, you can see how much action the book is taking on both sides of a pointspread, moneyline or over/under.

One look at these numbers and it's obvious MySportsbook.com does not balance every game. In fact, far from it.

Take last weekend's matchup between St. Louis and Miami. By game time on Sunday, 83 percent of the betting action at MySportsbook.com was on the Rams; only 17 percent was on Miami.

What's interesting is that MySportsbook.com opened the pointspread with Miami at +6 1/2. By game time, the spread had lowered to +5.

That goes contrary to the balancing theory. If MySportsbook.com had wanted to balance the action, it would have given Miami more points; instead, it took away 1 1/2. World Series odds are now up as well.

MySportsbook.com exposed itself to even more to risk, and rolled the dice on the underdog Dolphins. Why? I contacted a representative with the book to find out. His answer was simple.

"The line moved early based on 'smart money' from sharp players," said Jeff Gilroy, a spokesperson for the book. "We also knew from early in the week that we would need Miami, therefore (we dropped) the spread to encourage Rams money.

"At the end of the day, we liked the home team."

So the conclusion is this: MySportsbook.com respected the sharp action, and gambled that the sharp bettors had a better take on the game than the recreational bettors, who were hammering the visiting Rams.

In the end, the gamble paid off. Miami, desperate for a win in front of its home fans, pounded the overrated Rams, who are terrible on the road and even worse on grass. Final score: 31-14 Fish.

MySportsbook.com was also heavily exposed on numerous favorites in Week 7, including Philadelphia, Seattle and Denver. All three failed to cover.

The fact that sportsbooks are exposed to risk on certain games is really nothing new. The fact, that Sportsbook.com is willing to show the public where it's exposed is intriguing.

Armed with this type of information, bettors can make more educated wagers. They can get an idea where the sharp money is going and conversely where the public money is headed.

MySportsbook.com is opening up its cashbox, letting bettors look inside and challenging them to take their best shot at grabbing the cash.

To visit this online football betting got to MySportsbook.com for all your football betting odds needs. Mysportsbook.com online sportsbook accepts Visa and Mastercard credit cards.

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